Hi Rolf,
Plan on 3-5% shrinkage of the final cleaned up and polished object. There is some shrinkage in the mold but it is usually very small particularly if you poured enough extra metal such that the hot mass of extra metal in the funnel leading to the sprue acts as a heat source keeping the metal flowing a little longer and completely filling the mold. If you are using sand, petrobond, and Delft clay casting, most loss occurs when you clean up the edges of the cast object. The object right out of the mold tends to have edges that are slightly rounded and If you need sharp clean edges you may end up with the final object a little smaller than planned. I find, 3-5% extra size for the model solves all those issues.
dave