I have had pretty much the same experience as Mike with expansion and shrinkage due to humidity. In my current shop, I use heat, air conditioning, humidifiers, and dehumidifiers to keep the humidity around 50-60% year round. That way, there is little movement in the wood while I am building the gun.
However, once the gun leaves the shop and goes in the house, I get noticeable shrinkage and swelling in ALL directions due to seasonal changes.
When I worked in unconditioned space, the changes in the stock while I was working on it where just as Mike described. In the summer, I could be inletting a barrel that was going in and dropping out just fine. A thunder storm could roll through (generally only 15 minutes and they are gone ), and at the end of it, the barrel COULD NOT be removed from the stock until it dried out. It would be like I super glued it in. By the way shrinkage in low humidity is MUCH slower than swelling due to high humidity. This is my actual experience.
Also, kiln dried wood is much more prone to movement than air dried wood. The longer a stock blank sits before being cut, the more stable it is in the long run. I know it is usually not possible, but I have had the best luck with wood that had been curing 10 years or more.