My observations as well, Mark. Dependent on the charge and size, they fall closer or further away from the muzzle - WIND has a lot to do with this phenomenon. At our large bore rifle range, we oft times have a tail wind, from 4 o'clock. This sends the patches over the first baffle of rail-way ties, usually. If the wind drops, they usually fall inside or land on top of the baffle, about 15' in front of the muzzle.