I can only think of three things the cupped face does (that could be credited for more velocity): moves the ignition point slightly fwd (easy to test), increases the effective length of bbl very slightly, improves combustion chamber shape
We know what the effect of lengthening the barrel is – roughly speaking, velocity increases about 10 feet/second/inch. The increase in length with the cupped breech plug was only 0.2” so we can eliminate that hypothesis.
The other two ideas, changing where the powder column is ignited, and the “hemi” effect are easily testable. All you would need to do is drill three flash holes, one near the breech plug face, one in the middle of the powder column, and one near the forward edge of the column. Plug up the two holes you aren’t using and start the test.
I hope somebody does this test. I would really like to know the answer, but I’m not likely to do it for a couple of reasons:
1. Even if moving the flash hole forward increases muzzle velocity, I’m not going to do that on a gun. Aesthetic issues of lock placement outweigh any advantage in velocity that might be gained.
2. I’m not sure what Dan would say if I drilled all those holes in his barrel, but it’s not too hard to guess. Dan lives in a small town in Montana, and as you might expect, the bulk of his vocabulary consists of words that have only four letters.
The question about load compression force is right at the top of my list of experiments to do next. Hunting season and winter are upon us, so as soon as the snow melts out in the spring, I’ll get after it. Spring here is July most years, although sometimes it doesn’t get here until mid August or so.