Far from an expert here, but I think that is far too general a question to yield an answer that will mean anything.
That is a 100 year time period, in which a lot happened, not to mention, a very wide swath of land.
Settlement conditions and the size of available game changed over time, probably resulting in different bore size requirements, and that can be applied on different timelines to different areas.
Even if accurate data for that question was available, what would it tell you? I think, not much. What is relevant in Massachusetts, might be entirely different in Virginia.
I don't mean to be a nay-sayer here, but I think that without narrowing down the data to more specific time periods and geographic areas just won't give you an answer that means very much.
Cheers,
Norm
Edit: I re-read your question and see that it is referencing another website stating caliber size .40 and under, vice your personal experience in handling originals. I still think my point above is valid, but I will try to refine my answer here:
The idea that attaching a median value to guns made in a long period of time over a wide area of land is not particularly helpful. In other words, the data you reference is not specific enough to be helpful.
Additionally, if you have primarily handled early guns from a specific area, then they are likely to be either above or below that median number (.40) referenced before. Unless you have handled a full cross-section of guns from the time period and geographic area, then your data is not related to the data referenced in the other forum.
Again, not being critical here, just trying to suggest that a more specific question would potentially yield a far more valuable answer.
Cheers again,
Norm